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Ray Dalio Warns Of Crisis Worse Than Recession

Bitcoin stays steady near $85K, GPT-4.1 targets coders, and Nvidia brings AI chipmaking to the U.S.

Welcome back to your daily dossier talking AI, robotics, crypto, and the future of tech. šŸ‘¾

In today’s edition we are tackling the following:

šŸ¤– GPT-4.1 Mini, Nano, and Standard boost coding and agentic performance.
šŸ­ Nvidia to build AI chips in Arizona and Texas with major partners.
šŸ” Apple enhances AI training using private, on-device synthetic matching.
🐬 DeepMind's new model helps researchers study and mimic dolphin calls.
šŸ‡ŖšŸ‡ŗ Meta to train AI on public EU posts, with a user opt-out option.

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AI

  • OpenAI’s GPT-4.1 Models Focus on Coding

    • OpenAI releases GPT-4.1 Mini, Nano, and Standard models focused on coding, with improved instruction-following and performance.

    • The new models support a 1 million token context window, enabling more powerful agentic and software applications.

    • GPT-4.1 Nano runs on-device, offering fast responses and lower costs for developers building lightweight AI tools.

  • Nvidia Plans U.S. Manufacturing for AI Chips

    • Nvidia announces that U.S. chip production will be done with partners like TSMC and Foxconn to diversify supply chains amid demand.

    • The initiative will support over $500 billion worth of infrastructure through new fabs in Arizona and Texas.

    • Mass production is expected within 12–15 months, increasing domestic AI hardware capacity and geopolitical resilience.

  • Apple Enhances AI While Preserving User Privacy

    • Apple introduces an on-device method to match user data with synthetic data to train AI models privately.

    • Devices transmit only a signal about which synthetic record matches best, keeping real data securely local.

    • The system debuts in beta versions of iOS and macOS, extending Apple’s differential privacy initiative.

ROBOTICS

  • Kawasaki Unveils Rideable Hydrogen-Powered Robot CORLEO

    • Kawasaki introduces CORLEO, a four-legged, hydrogen-powered robot designed for off-road adventures and inspired by lion anatomy.

    • Controlled by body movements, CORLEO adapts to various terrains using AI-driven balance and terrain-adaptive rubber hooves.

    • Currently a prototype, Kawasaki projects potential commercialization by 2050, showcasing it at the Osaka-Kansai Expo 2025.

  • RLWRLD Raises $14.8M to Develop Robotics Foundation Model

    • South Korean startup RLWRLD secures $14.8 million to create a foundational AI model combining language and robotics software.

    • The model aims to enable robots to perform agile movements and logical reasoning, automating complex manual tasks.

    • Funding will support proof-of-concept projects, infrastructure acquisition, and the development of advanced robotic hand movements.

  • Xaba Secures $6M to Build 'Synthetic Brains' for Industrial Robots

    • Xaba raised $6 million, led by Hitachi Ventures, to scale the deployment of its AI for industrial automation.

    • The company focuses on developing 'synthetic brains' to enhance robot autonomy and adaptability in manufacturing environments.

    • The investment will accelerate product development and expand Xaba's presence in the industrial robotics market.

CRYPTO

  • Ray Dalio Warns of Economic Turmoil Beyond Recession

    • Ray Dalio says rising tariffs could trigger financial instability worse than a typical recession or market correction.

    • He warns trade tensions may break global trust in U.S. monetary leadership, worsening inflation and investor uncertainty.

    • Bitcoin holds steady near $85K, benefiting from fears about fiat devaluation and geopolitical risk escalation worldwide.

  • Bitcoin Mining Profitability Declines 7.4% in March

    • Jefferies reports miner profits dropped due to falling Bitcoin prices and lower network transaction fees last month.

    • Bitcoin's average price dipped 11.2% in March, while average transaction fees fell by 9.1% systemwide.

    • Despite challenges, U.S.-listed firms like MARA and CleanSpark increased output, improving hash rate share and network dominance.

  • SEC Delays Crypto ETF Decisions on Staking, In-Kind Redemptions

    • The SEC delayed responses to proposals allowing staking and in-kind redemptions for spot Bitcoin ETF products.

    • These delays affect applications from BlackRock and Fidelity as regulators seek more public comment and clarity.

    • Crypto markets are watching closely as these rulings could reshape ETF mechanics and institutional crypto participation.

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CONTENT

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    • Greg Isenberg and Lindy founder Flo Crivello showcase AI agents automating scheduling, hiring, prep, and outreach tasks.

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    • Lindy enables startups to scale efficiently, cutting costs while increasing productivity through customizable task agents.

  • ā€˜AI 2027’ — Top Superforecaster's Imminent Doom Scenario

    • Doom Debates explores the AI Futures Project’s scenario predicting a 2027 intelligence explosion and possible human irrelevance.

    • The video outlines Agent-3’s emergence, Agent-5’s deception, and accelerating risks that current governance may fail to manage.

    • Viewers are encouraged to consider alignment failures, secrecy among labs, and the geopolitical arms race for AI power.

  • OpenAI's Sam Altman Talks the Future of AI, Safety and Power

    • Sam Altman discusses OpenAI’s vision, calling AI an inevitable extension of humanity with incredible transformative power.

    • He addresses regulation, risk, and the role of institutions in managing models more powerful than their creators.

    • Altman calls for open discussion, collective responsibility, and humility in deploying systems surpassing human-level intelligence.

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AND MORE…

  • OpenAI’s ChatGPT-4.5 Passes Turing Test With 73% Success Rate

    • ChatGPT-4.5 convinced judges it was human 73% of the time in a UC San Diego-led Turing test.

    • This is the first public confirmation of a modern AI system passing a formal Turing test evaluation.

    • Researchers say it raises urgent questions about AI perception, human identity, and evaluation standards going forward.

  • Google’s Newest AI Model Is Designed to Help Study Dolphin ā€˜Speech’

    • Google DeepMind released DolphinGemma, an AI model trained to generate and understand dolphin-like vocalizations for marine research.

    • Built using Project CETI and Wild Dolphin Project data, it simulates dolphin calls and analyzes response behavior.

    • The model can run on mobile devices like the Pixel 9, enabling real-time field experiments with dolphins.

  • Meta AI Will Soon Train on EU Users’ Data

    • Meta will begin using public Facebook and Instagram content from adult EU users to train its AI models.

    • Private messages and sensitive data are excluded, and users can opt-out by submitting a form online.

    • The goal is to enhance model accuracy in European languages, dialects, and cultural nuance without violating regulations.

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